Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicoletta Pashourtidou Author-Email: n.pashourtidou@ucy.ac.cy Author-Workplace-Name: Economics Research Centre, University of Cyprus Author-Name: Andreas Tsiaklis Author-Email:Tsiaklis.andreas@ucy.ac.cy Author-Workplace-Name: Economics Research Centre, University of Cyprus Title: An Analysis of Firms’ Expectations about Activity and Employment Abstract:This paper uses individual firm data from the Cyprus Business Surveys for the period May 2009 - April 2011 to assess the extent to which expectations about activity and employment stated in a given month agree with realisations reported by the same firms in subsequent Surveys. The results show that the probability of a firm stating expectations that are consistent with future realisations varies systematically with firm-specific characteristics such as size, district and subsector of operation. The heterogeneity in this probability can be viewed as a description of the shocks experienced ex post by different types of firms Classification-JEL: Keywords: business surveys, expectations, firm-level data, probit model Journal: Cyprus Economic Policy Review Pages: 71-85 Volume: 5 Issue: 1 Year: 2011 Month: June File-URL: http://www.ucy.ac.cy/erc/documents/AnAnalysis.pdf File-Format: Application/pdf Handle: RePEc:erc:cypepr:v:5:y:2011:i:1:p:71-85